Hard-Ticket
0x31649b2d1be4b52156afa62702fb4e554da97f87
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-570.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?
1003 shares @ 54.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-550.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
556 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by Friday?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Maduro in U.S. custody by December 31?
145 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.59
- YES
Solana above $160 on June 6?
133 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$1.00Feb 25, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?$550.00Jan 29, 10:39 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out in 2025?$5.75Jan 29, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$102.12Jan 29, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$200.80Jan 29, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?$304.71Jan 29, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro in U.S. custody by December 31?$1.59Dec 22, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$200.00Dec 19, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO3)$0.00Dec 19, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO3)$14.58Dec 19, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO3)$3.00Dec 18, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO3)$4.00Dec 18, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?$304.41Dec 6, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$101.00Dec 6, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$5.00Dec 6, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$15.00Oct 16, 17:35 UTC
- REDEEMBrewers vs. Padres$38.46Oct 1, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrewers vs. Padres$20.00Sep 22, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by Friday?$1.00Jun 12, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $160 on June 6?$2.00Jun 5, 20:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $58.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 4, 09:42 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 25, 11:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".