Quirky-Rivulet
0x31666fdaa3c83e35f5c0ca870d713c706b8d62a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
149
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.0K
Realised
$-172.16
Win rate
0%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 149- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
937 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-112.70
- YES
Will Brazil vs. Croatia end in a draw?
550 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-87.59
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
413 shares @ 71.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-293.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
360 shares @ 53.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-193.34
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
353 shares @ 54.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-193.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
322 shares @ 77.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-250.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
321 shares @ 60.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-194.31
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
319 shares @ 56.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-179.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
312 shares @ 40.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-127.34
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
311 shares @ 62.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-194.62
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$1.30Jul 21, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$1.02Jul 21, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$31.05Jul 17, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$33.64Jul 17, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$15.59Jul 17, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$15.22Jul 17, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$8.27Jul 17, 08:50 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$7.02Jul 3, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$25.84Jul 2, 09:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$18.15Jul 2, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$51.75Jul 2, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$51.68Jul 2, 09:32 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$7.50Jul 1, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$48.14Jun 30, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$7.88Jun 29, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$29.17Jun 28, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$20.13Jun 27, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$19.38Jun 20, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$50.98Jun 20, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$28.84Jun 20, 07:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $33.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 00:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 10:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.