Arctic-Niece
0x31684df17f4c7be797cd93898839d76838295dc6
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$6.75
Total PnL
$-79.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 62°F or higher on February 13?
7 shares @ 74.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$6.75
$1.75
- NO
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
128 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -6°C or below on February 8?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 15°F or below on February 8?
87 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
31 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-19.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C or below on February 9?
20 shares @ 48.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
20 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.74
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
18 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
18 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.85
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-9.87
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on February 12?$0.00Feb 13, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 62°F or higher on February 13?$5.00Feb 12, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on February 12?$1.00Feb 12, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$10.00Feb 11, 17:54 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$19.30Feb 11, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$10.00Feb 11, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C or higher on February 10?$2.00Feb 8, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on February 10?$3.00Feb 8, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C or below on February 9?$5.00Feb 8, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C or below on February 9?$5.00Feb 7, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be -6°C or below on February 8?$1.00Feb 7, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 15°F or below on February 8?$5.00Feb 7, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$10.00Jan 31, 13:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$0.00Jan 31, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$52.73Jan 31, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$45.00Jan 31, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$5.00Jan 31, 13:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$18.23Jan 31, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$10.00Jan 31, 11:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$39.47Jan 31, 11:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $13.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 12, 19:22 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 13, 10:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.