Arctic-Niece
0x31684df17f4c7be797cd93898839d76838295dc6
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$6.75
Total PnL
$-819.11
Realised
$-67.18
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 62°F or higher on February 13?
7 shares @ 74.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$6.75
$1.75
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5509 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-650.00
- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
128 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -6°C or below on February 8?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 15°F or below on February 8?
87 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
31 shares @ 58.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-18.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C or below on February 9?
20 shares @ 48.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
20 shares @ 41.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.22
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
18 shares @ 40.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.42
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 26, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 25, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 24, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 23, 00:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $44.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 11:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.