Basic-Begonia
0x31751227d5837cc2b949b98004837446576f788d
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$686.26
Total PnL
$234.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Jean-Luc Moudenc be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?
575 shares @ 52.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$574.68
$274.68
- YES
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$62.50
$12.50
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
185 shares @ 27.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$49.07
$-0.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
153 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-19.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
45 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-9.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
14 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-9.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
10 shares @ 59.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.91
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
9 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.92
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Luc Moudenc be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?$200.00Mar 22, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$50.00Mar 21, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$50.00Mar 21, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$10.00Mar 21, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$12.21Mar 21, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$10.00Mar 21, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Luc Moudenc be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?$100.00Mar 21, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$27.72Feb 26, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$10.00Feb 26, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$10.00Feb 26, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$10.00Feb 26, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$10.00Feb 26, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$10.00Feb 26, 15:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$22.91Feb 9, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$20.00Feb 5, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$28.77Feb 5, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$20.00Feb 5, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$1.00Feb 4, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$5.00Feb 4, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$8.35Feb 4, 14:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $25.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 13:27 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 22, 16:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.