Fortunate-Spill
0x31790fc59531b33655a8e0a3a0f991d485962918
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
56
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-242.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
US x Russia military clash by December 31?
533 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-27.20
- YES
North Korea x South Korea military clash by August 31?
500 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before August?
440 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July?
409 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Coinbase acquire Circle before September?
279 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
189 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Tether acquire Circle before September?
189 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?
131 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?
107 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUkraine hits Moscow by September 30?$1.68Sep 26, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLQatar strike on Israel by September 30?$0.17Sep 26, 08:08 UTC
- TRADESELLRussian strike on Poland by September 30?$0.83Sep 26, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$4.50Sep 11, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$2.00Sep 11, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Russia military clash by December 31?$5.20Sep 11, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $6.00 in September?$0.82Sep 11, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar strike on Israel by September 30?$1.00Sep 11, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussian strike on Poland by September 30?$2.00Sep 11, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more? $0.11Sep 11, 13:00 UTC
- TRADESELLElon no longer world's richest before 2026?$16.07Sep 11, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaquake by September 30?$1.60Sep 9, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$2.21Aug 11, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?$3.00Aug 11, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$10.00Aug 11, 00:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Putin meet with Trump by September 30?$15.94Aug 9, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUY2025 August hottest on record?$1.00Aug 5, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coinbase acquire Circle before September?$2.00Aug 3, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaquake by August 31?$5.00Aug 3, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces in Gaza in 2025?$5.00Aug 3, 12:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 19:00 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 26, 08:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".