0x317cc556ddf7514eb25cd771b0ec72fb072dcda9
0x317cc556ddf7514eb25cd771b0ec72fb072dcda9
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$55.95
Total PnL
$-93.86
Realised
$-4.78
Win rate
25%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C or higher on June 25?
1068 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$9.61
$-6.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 24?
50 shares @ 16.4¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$8.75
$0.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 25?
440 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$8.13
$0.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?
38 shares @ 7.9¢·now 20.6¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$7.82
$4.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 25?
60 shares @ 10.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$6.30
$0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 25?
85 shares @ 2.4¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$4.32
$2.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 25?
624 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$4.05
$-4.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 39°C on June 24?
350 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$2.10
$-1.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 24?
40 shares @ 9.0¢·now 4.6¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$1.84
$-1.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 38°C on June 24?
153 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$1.60
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 38°C on June 24?$1.05Jun 23, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 25?$5.25Jun 23, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 36°C or higher on June 25?$0.03Jun 23, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 25?$4.20Jun 23, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 36°C or higher on June 25?$8.37Jun 23, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 36°C or higher on June 25?$1.14Jun 23, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 36°C or higher on June 25?$0.66Jun 23, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 36°C or higher on June 25?$1.06Jun 23, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 36°C or higher on June 25?$1.12Jun 23, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 36°C or higher on June 25?$1.85Jun 23, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 36°C or higher on June 25?$0.32Jun 23, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 24?$5.84Jun 23, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 25?$6.27Jun 23, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?$6.46Jun 23, 15:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?$8.59Jun 23, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 25?$0.04Jun 23, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 25?$0.09Jun 23, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 25?$0.09Jun 23, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 25?$0.04Jun 23, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 25?$0.11Jun 23, 14:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 14:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 16:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.