0x317cc556ddf7514eb25cd771b0ec72fb072dcda9
0x317cc556ddf7514eb25cd771b0ec72fb072dcda9
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
77
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-253.33
Realised
$-2.25
Win rate
64%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 77- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or higher on June 28?
1504 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 26?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 24?
749 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-62.78
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 28?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or below on June 27?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 39°C on June 24?
350 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 27?
348 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 28?
327 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 27?
272 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on June 28?
212 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 9?$1.05Jul 9, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 10?$5.14Jul 9, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 10?$5.20Jul 9, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C or below on June 30?$1.05Jun 30, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C or below on June 30?$3.14Jun 30, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 1?$1.04Jun 30, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 30?$1.04Jun 30, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 30?$1.05Jun 30, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 28?$1.05Jun 28, 10:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 28?$0.79Jun 28, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 28?$0.80Jun 27, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 27?$2.60Jun 27, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C or below on June 27?$2.81Jun 27, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 27?$1.86Jun 27, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 27?$4.16Jun 27, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C or below on June 27?$2.04Jun 27, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 27?$2.08Jun 27, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 27?$1.05Jun 27, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 27?$0.02Jun 27, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 29?$1.05Jun 27, 05:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
64% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 16:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 09:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.