Exalted-Relationship
0x31831226228bd9fb7a843463c77d9d8f69e8c74e
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$280.03
Total PnL
$-303.41
Realised
$0.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 27°C or below on May 9?
290 shares @ 99.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 9, 2026$279.85
$-7.15
- YES
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
10 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.18
$-0.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on March 22?
1113 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.11
- YES
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 64°F or below on August 28?
215 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 28, 2025$0.00
$-27.65
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 18?
125 shares @ 92.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-115.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 14°C on March 24?
112 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.77
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on February 27?
104 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2025?
80 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 27°C or below on May 9?$227.7045m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 27°C or below on May 9?$9.907h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 27°C or below on May 9?$49.437h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 27°C or below on May 8?$289.9822h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 27°C or below on May 8?$224.171d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 27°C or below on May 8?$59.651d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 29°C on May 7?$283.841d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 27°C or below on May 8?$3.191d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 29°C on May 7?$281.141d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?$0.1332d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?$0.1832d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?$0.0132d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?$0.1832d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?$0.5032d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on March 25?$31.0744d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on March 25?$5.0044d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on March 25?$5.0044d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on March 25?$0.5644d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on March 25?$9.9944d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 25?$41.6245d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $27.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 47d ago
- Last active
- 45m ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
