Diligent-Infection
0x31a22262bff81ecc62c28a11f3855cf9f0bacfcd
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-353.76
Realised
$-14.70
Win rate
5%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
313 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
179 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1PM ET
130 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-23.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11AM ET
130 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-17.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
114 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-45.59
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
104 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
100 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
100 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-23.96
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
96 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 on August 18?$50.00Aug 19, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 on August 18?$49.02Aug 18, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $64,000 on August 14?$20.00Aug 15, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $64,000 on August 14?$19.70Aug 14, 18:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 13?$75.00Aug 14, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 13?$72.69Aug 13, 18:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 11?$70.00Aug 12, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 11?$66.71Aug 11, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 10?$70.00Aug 11, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 10?$68.11Aug 10, 20:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 on August 7?$70.00Aug 8, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 on August 7?$67.91Aug 7, 21:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 on August 6?$66.00Aug 7, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 on August 6?$64.09Aug 6, 17:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 on August 4?$33.00Aug 5, 04:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 4?$35.00Aug 5, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 on August 4?$32.02Aug 4, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 4?$16.61Aug 4, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 4?$12.17Aug 4, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 3?$60.00Aug 4, 04:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
45/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
5% win rate over 21 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
21 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $32.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 18:38 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 04:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.