Hateful-Pomegranate
0x31c5189c5ae0575f2936457ac579051edacedf85
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-857.56
Realised
$-19.47
Win rate
0%
37 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on July 2?
125 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-105.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
30 shares @ 69.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-20.77
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
30 shares @ 78.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-23.55
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 28?
30 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-28.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
30 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-20.40
- UP
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
30 shares @ 72.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-21.66
- UP
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
30 shares @ 72.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-21.68
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
30 shares @ 77.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-23.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
30 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-20.40
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
30 shares @ 67.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-20.34
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 28?$26.41Jul 28, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 28?$28.86Jul 28, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 28?$3.29Jul 28, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 28?$27.14Jul 28, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 28?$5.54Jul 28, 04:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 28?$24.16Jul 28, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 28?$24.82Jul 28, 04:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 27?$29.70Jul 27, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 27?$28.94Jul 27, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be 87°F or below on July 27?$14.56Jul 27, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be 87°F or below on July 27?$0.60Jul 27, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be 87°F or below on July 27?$14.53Jul 27, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be 87°F or below on July 27?$26.00Jul 27, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 26?$14.85Jul 26, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 26?$14.43Jul 26, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 26?$14.85Jul 26, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 26?$13.13Jul 26, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 25?$0.24Jul 25, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 25?$14.61Jul 25, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 25?$13.71Jul 25, 21:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 37 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
37 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $12.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 15:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 20:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 37 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.