Waterlogged-Spray
0x31c718270e309b84d9ee6c3bb55b5a2f6df2b9e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-93.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at <$50 in February?
227 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 20?
225 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on July 25?
223 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.34
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 20, 8AM ET
213 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.49
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on January 21?
212 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.06
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 24?
211 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.22
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.10 on January 24?
199 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.39
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 25?
197 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.15
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on January 27?
178 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.14
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 27?
174 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.61
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on July 25?$1.43Jul 25, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 8?$232.51Jul 8, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 8?$230.88Jul 7, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 2?$1.85Jul 2, 01:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Whatever's Clever!' - Charlie Puth debut week album sales be between 20k and 25k?$60.00Jun 2, 20:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zeeshan Hafeez be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?$103.33May 27, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 25?$2.62May 24, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on April 13?$120.97May 15, 13:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $1.45 on April 19?$218.89May 7, 04:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 27?$45.89Apr 27, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 27?$22.56Apr 26, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 27?$0.52Apr 26, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 27?$20.06Apr 26, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.45 on April 19?$216.92Apr 20, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,500 on April 17?$3.51Apr 18, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 12?$231.90Apr 18, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on April 15?$2.42Apr 14, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on April 13?$118.79Apr 13, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 12?$230.04Apr 11, 16:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in February?$0.00Apr 11, 16:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $50.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 19:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 02:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.