Outlying-Ceramics
0x31cc25cfd699811b33deee8e836aa35270a37a71
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$52.40
Total PnL
$3.42
Realised
$-0.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 14?
6 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$5.62
$0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 14?
5 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$4.73
$0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on March 13?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$4.01
$0.00
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
4 shares @ 61.8¢·now 69.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.05
$0.35
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on March 13?
3 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$2.78
$0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on March 28?
3 shares @ 86.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$2.68
$0.35
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 12?
3 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$2.62
$0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on March 15?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$2.31
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on March 13?
2 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$2.27
$0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on March 15?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$2.24
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on March 28?$1.32Mar 28, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 28?$0.49Mar 28, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on March 28?$1.02Mar 28, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on March 28?$1.31Mar 28, 10:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$3.17Mar 28, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.54Mar 26, 22:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.26Mar 26, 22:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.63Mar 26, 22:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.62Mar 26, 22:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.63Mar 26, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.78Mar 20, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.15Mar 20, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$3.54Mar 19, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 19?$1.00Mar 19, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.00Mar 19, 16:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 19, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.04Mar 18, 23:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.02Mar 18, 23:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.05Mar 18, 23:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.02Mar 18, 23:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $0.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 01:31 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 28, 12:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".