Old-Halloween
0x31e1739d0943deb0d1c84ba582c164a3d19f5bd3
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.2K
Realised
$-1.4K
Win rate
4%
48 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- CONOR MCGREGOR
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
2190 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-766.46
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?
420 shares @ 60.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-254.21
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
284 shares @ 53.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-151.91
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
250 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
250 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
229 shares @ 35.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-81.49
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
201 shares @ 40.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-82.39
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
197 shares @ 34.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-68.16
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
191 shares @ 31.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-59.34
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$781.41Jul 9, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score$10.01Jul 5, 21:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$10.86Jul 5, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$1.05Jul 5, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$1.05Jul 5, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$1.05Jul 5, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5 AND Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance AND Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 AND Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$90.00Jul 5, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 2+ goals$77.88Jul 3, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 1.5 AND Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5 AND Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance AND Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance AND Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance AND Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5 AND Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score AND Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5$89.99Jul 3, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5 AND Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5 AND United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 AND England vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5 AND Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance AND Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 6.5 Total Corners AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?$62.80Jun 30, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 Series Ireland vs India: Ireland vs India - Who wins the toss?$101.35Jun 28, 11:57 UTC
- TRADESELLLexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ugo Humbert$40.10Jun 28, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYLexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ugo Humbert$13.34Jun 28, 11:49 UTC
- TRADESELLLexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ugo Humbert$1.68Jun 28, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYLexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ugo Humbert$101.50Jun 28, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$1.07Jun 28, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill DR Congo win on 2026-06-27? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?$284.56Jun 28, 04:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$0.00Jun 28, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$0.59Jun 28, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$1.05Jun 28, 01:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
4% win rate over 48 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
48 closed markets, 4% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $41.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 02:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 11:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 48 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.