Quiet-Discourse
0x31e8a6e0eb748bf2437ad75c7538fc1e8f081c09
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-318.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
21839 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-32.58
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
6339 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-139.99
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
367 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.69
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
333 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 13?
79 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
47 shares @ 32.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
40 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-19.69
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
35 shares @ 52.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-18.50
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?
34 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$0.00Apr 19, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$0.00Apr 19, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?$0.00Apr 19, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMSt. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. George Mason Patriots$0.00Apr 19, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4PM ET$0.00Apr 19, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$0.00Apr 19, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$0.00Apr 19, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$0.00Apr 19, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)$0.00Apr 19, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$0.00Apr 19, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10AM ET$0.00Apr 19, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$0.00Apr 19, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$0.00Apr 19, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on March 12?$0.00Apr 19, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$0.00Apr 19, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$0.00Apr 19, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 5, 2026?$0.00Apr 19, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$0.00Apr 19, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on April 18?$0.00Apr 19, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sporting CP win on 2026-03-11?$0.00Apr 19, 23:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 19, 23:32 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 19, 23:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".