Treasured-Bait
0x31eb967b409a3ebe24b34424e614770bc6423616
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-12.55
Realised
$16.87
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Robin Johnston win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
200 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-6.26
- YES
Will monthly inflation be between 2.4% and 2.6% in September?
120 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-22.16
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 19-22?
43 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$1.70Oct 24, 10:06 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$0.10Oct 24, 09:56 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$0.50Oct 24, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 19, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$1.00Oct 19, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 19-22?$1.00Oct 19, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$1.00Oct 19, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation increase by less than 24% in December?$1.35Oct 19, 08:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?$1.10Oct 19, 08:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Oct 19, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$3.75Oct 19, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill House and Senate pass funding bill by November 30?$1.48Oct 18, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end by October 31?$3.60Oct 18, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation increase by between 30% and 32.9% in December?$6.35Oct 18, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLMacron out by June 30, 2026?$10.00Oct 18, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$10.80Oct 18, 21:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation increase by less than 24% in December?$17.09Oct 18, 21:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end by November 30?$19.25Oct 18, 21:42 UTC
- TRADESELL100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?$43.90Oct 18, 21:42 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain snap election called in 2025?$45.50Oct 18, 21:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $37.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 18, 11:44 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 24, 10:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.