Some-Bud
0x31ebe269bcea4d518f58893ee28e9f9843b1bea0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$33.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
US government shutdown by October 1?
217 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-69.30
- YES
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?
216 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
185 shares @ 53.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
OpenAI browser by October 31?
164 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?
145 shares @ 68.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-98.70
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on October 17?
134 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-111.26
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?
128 shares @ 31.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
123 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?
117 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-14.94
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
112 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-85.12
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$144.63May 1, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$28.83Mar 31, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$100.00Mar 31, 11:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$128.83Mar 31, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$85.12Mar 27, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?$84.76Mar 27, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$0.35Mar 27, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$9.00Mar 18, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$100.00Mar 16, 18:47 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$105.26Mar 16, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$100.00Mar 11, 05:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?$101.21Mar 11, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$100.00Mar 9, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$101.08Mar 9, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$10.00Mar 9, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$100.00Mar 9, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.5 released by March 31?$102.40Mar 9, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?$80.00Mar 7, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?$100.00Mar 5, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$110.25Mar 5, 05:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $69.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 4, 21:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 10:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.