Eager-Ritual
0x31ff6ae66fa4f102715e97719ab0c822c0d5209b
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
165
Open notional
$231.78
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-562.97
Win rate
4%
85 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 165- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
9492 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$90.17
$-4.92
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
955 shares @ 5.6¢·now 3.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.98
$-21.72
- NO
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
27 shares @ 63.2¢·now 67.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.36
$1.16
- YES
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
51 shares @ 40.1¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.70
$-3.89
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?
36 shares @ 30.3¢·now 32.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$11.79
$0.79
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
7 shares @ 94.3¢·now 96.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.76
$0.17
- YES
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?
23 shares @ 25.5¢·now 29.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$6.67
$0.81
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?
3052 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$4.58
$-2.79
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
225 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.17
$-0.11
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
4 shares @ 79.8¢·now 89.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.37
$0.37
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$9.18Jul 30, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$92.19Jul 30, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$1.01Jul 30, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$1.00Jul 30, 09:25 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down on July 30?$0.27Jul 30, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on July 30?$1.01Jul 30, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?$1.04Jul 30, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?$1.01Jul 30, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner$1.05Jul 30, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 30?$1.07Jul 30, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?$4.57Jul 30, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?$1.04Jul 30, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$1.82Jul 30, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$1.03Jul 30, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$10.33Jul 30, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$9.26Jul 30, 02:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$0.00Jul 30, 02:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 30, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$0.00Jul 29, 22:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?$0.00Jul 29, 21:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
4% win rate over 85 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
85 closed markets, 4% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $7.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 14:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 13:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 85 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.