Pretty-Disguise
0x3201efc4ef420b24bd74fe914beaf8b54adde442
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$1.16
Total PnL
$-101.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.16
$0.06
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?
138 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model on October 31?
111 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Apple acquire Mistral by September 30?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?
92 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?
64 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
56 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
OpenAI social app in 2025?
32 shares @ 64.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- NO
US government shutdown by October 1?
29 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-10.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.11May 21, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out before 2027?$1.13May 21, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$3.48Oct 16, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$1.00Oct 16, 18:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?$4.59Oct 16, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$10.01Sep 29, 10:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Peace" 10+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?$10.00Sep 29, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "China" 3+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?$3.00Sep 23, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peace" 10+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?$3.00Sep 23, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?$1.00Sep 23, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Israel" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?$1.00Sep 23, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Seven Wars" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?$5.00Sep 23, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3?$5.00Sep 23, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLGrok 5 released by December 31?$17.39Sep 23, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple acquire Mistral by September 30?$1.00Sep 23, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31?$15.20Sep 23, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model on October 31?$11.00Sep 23, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on September 30?$1.00Sep 23, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model on October 31?$4.00Sep 23, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?$1.00Sep 23, 12:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $8.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 8, 18:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 19:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.