Verifiable-Chairman
0x3205afd4796a0907affddb1c158e4c53da0b469c
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
135
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-223.57
Realised
$3.78
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 135- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
119 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
22 shares @ 44.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
21 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
20 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
20 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.87
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$0.00Jul 21, 01:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$5.75Jul 21, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$5.05Jul 21, 01:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$1.75Jul 21, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$1.06Jul 21, 01:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$0.91Jul 21, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$1.05Jul 21, 01:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$1.48Jul 20, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$1.04Jul 20, 01:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$1.05Jul 20, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$1.03Jul 20, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$1.05Jul 18, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$0.00Jul 18, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$1.05Jul 18, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$1.05Jul 18, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$1.04Jul 18, 07:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$3.79Jul 18, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$1.06Jul 18, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$1.05Jul 18, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$1.05Jul 18, 07:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 01:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 01:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.