Insidious-Loft
0x3206f0bb9176aae1a439ad45c171891e86f3da51
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$2.2K
Total PnL
$-28.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the AP call the election on November 6?
2159 shares @ 46.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2024$2.2K
$1.2K
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34
70218 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-4.0K
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154
52953 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64
43301 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-4.0K
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104
34535 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-4.6K
- YES
Kamala Harris blowout victory?
25572 shares @ 19.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2024$0.00
$-5.0K
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
18791 shares @ 39.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-7.4K
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14
14807 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-999.99
- YES
Will the AP call the election on November 5?
3086 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-600.00
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
818 shares @ 73.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-599.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$599.45Nov 5, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AP call the election on November 6?$1000.00Nov 5, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AP call the election on November 5?$600.00Nov 5, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154$1000.00Nov 4, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64$2.0KNov 4, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104$3.0KNov 4, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris blowout victory?$5.0KNov 4, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34$2.0KNov 4, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104$600.00Oct 28, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$500.00Oct 22, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154$1000.00Oct 20, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104$1000.00Oct 20, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14$1000.00Oct 18, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$2.0KOct 18, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64$2.0KOct 18, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34$2.0KOct 18, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$4.9KOct 17, 20:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $1.8K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 17, 20:50 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 14:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".