Winged-Context
0x321130912d8ebc60c18c0e24de996b413afe9c01
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$49.16
Win rate
73%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
1226 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
726 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-29.02
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
531 shares @ 75.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
213 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-160.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
173 shares @ 86.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-150.01
- ARGENTINA
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
153 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-11.48
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
125 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
90 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-44.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
69 shares @ 86.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$17.27Jul 23, 21:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$0.00Jul 23, 21:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$0.01Jul 23, 21:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$3.71Jul 23, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$14.52Jul 23, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$15.51Jul 23, 21:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$10.80Jul 23, 21:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$5.62Jul 23, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$11.27Jul 23, 21:46 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$6.98Jul 23, 21:44 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$2.21Jul 23, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$17.27Jul 23, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$2.52Jul 23, 03:25 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$1.22Jul 23, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$5.27Jul 23, 03:21 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$5.81Jul 23, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$14.35Jul 23, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$22.66Jul 22, 23:18 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$23.49Jul 22, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$43.58Jul 22, 23:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
73% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $15.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 19:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 21:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.