Elegant-Chopsticks
0x321212434e5b97f1f4f28db1f1d18fac1f8b49f9
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-12.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will LMP – Hungary’s Green Party (LMP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Denny McCarthy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
429 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.71
- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
109 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 30-April 5?
100 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$0.00Apr 2, 23:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$0.00Apr 2, 23:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$0.00Apr 2, 23:27 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?$0.00Apr 2, 23:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$0.00Apr 2, 23:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Esteban Ocon finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?$0.00Apr 2, 23:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 28, 2026?$0.00Apr 2, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 28, 2026?$0.00Apr 2, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 28, 2026?$0.00Apr 2, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill White House post 80-99 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$0.00Apr 2, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in March 2026?$0.00Apr 2, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$0.00Apr 2, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$0.00Apr 2, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 2?$0.00Apr 2, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 2?$0.00Apr 2, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 2?$0.00Apr 2, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill "KPop Demon Hunters" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$0.00Apr 2, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$0.00Apr 2, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%?$0.20Apr 2, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%?$0.20Apr 2, 14:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $0.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 01:27 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 2, 23:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.