Leading-Patient
0x3219796e94e21dfbf2dfb5d87335f69b76bd9c9b
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$7.40
Total PnL
$-137.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.67
$0.00
- NO
Will Z.ai have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.54
$0.00
- NO
Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.47
$0.12
- YES
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.46
$0.12
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.26
$0.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down on December 15?
275 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-137.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.26Dec 30, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.67Dec 30, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.54Dec 30, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.35Dec 30, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.34Dec 30, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on December 15?$137.50Dec 14, 09:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.26Dec 14, 04:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31?$2.57Dec 14, 04:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.59Dec 14, 04:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the best AI model on October 31?$3.01Dec 14, 04:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$3.02Dec 14, 04:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model on October 31?$5.68Dec 14, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.26Oct 27, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.48Oct 27, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.87Oct 27, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31?$2.56Oct 27, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model on October 31?$3.00Oct 27, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model on October 31?$5.60Oct 27, 03:44 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out in 2025?$2.04Oct 27, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the top AI model on September 30?$1.57Oct 27, 03:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $6.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 25, 02:29 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 30, 13:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".