Fake-Youth
0x321bea0978730a223f25720d49fbbb2316957be7
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$11.38
Total PnL
$-13.78
Realised
$-6.21
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the UEFA Champions League?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$1.91
$0.01
- NO
Will Grünen win the most seats in the next German election?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$1.28
$0.01
- NO
Will Jack Bergman be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.27
$0.01
- NO
Will Ajax win the UEFA Europa League?
1 shares @ 95.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2025$1.23
$0.05
- NO
Will Elon Musk be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.23
$0.01
- NO
Will Nice win the UEFA Europa League?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2025$1.19
$0.01
- NO
Will Sparta Prague win the UEFA Champions League?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$1.17
$0.01
- NO
10+ monkeypox cases in US in 2024?
1 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$1.07
$0.02
- NO
Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$1.03
$0.01
- YES
Will Fulham lead the EPL in points at midway point?
7500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2025$0.00
$-7.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Grünen win the most seats in the next German election?$1.28Dec 29, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jack Bergman be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?$1.26Dec 29, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?$1.22Dec 29, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fulham lead the EPL in points at midway point?$7.50Dec 29, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?$1.08Dec 29, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yamandú Orsi win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?$1.15Dec 29, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?$1.17Dec 29, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?$1.37Dec 29, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMMitchell vs. Gracie$1.56Dec 29, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yamandú Orsi win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?$1.15Nov 30, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nice win the UEFA Europa League?$1.18Nov 30, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ajax win the UEFA Europa League?$1.18Nov 30, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Shakhtar Donetsk win the UEFA Champions League?$377.72Nov 30, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?$1.02Nov 30, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sparta Prague win the UEFA Champions League?$628.21Nov 30, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024?$5.20Nov 30, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?$1.17Nov 29, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?$1.08Nov 29, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?$1.36Nov 29, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024?$10.60Nov 29, 06:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $108.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 29, 06:28 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 29, 17:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.