Interesting-Elite
0x321e2890cc90f475b25011c76a296f2b6bf99292
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
184
Open notional
$6.2K
Total PnL
$4.2K
Realised
$-6.34
Win rate
10%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 184- YES
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?
600 shares @ 82.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$405.00
$-87.00
- NO
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?
600 shares @ 0.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Oct 30, 2026$369.00
$369.00
- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
393 shares @ 0.0¢·now 78.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$307.33
$307.33
- NO
Will Hana Ghassan win the Governor of Pará election?
600 shares @ 48.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$237.00
$-51.00
- NO
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $AAI?
267 shares @ 0.0¢·now 85.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$229.35
$229.35
- NO
Will Jeremy Strong be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
241 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 21, 2027$227.74
$6.02
- NO
Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?
286 shares @ 0.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2027$222.94
$222.94
- NO
Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
384 shares @ 0.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$190.08
$190.08
- NO
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10-15%?
183 shares @ 0.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$150.26
$150.26
- YES
Will the season series between the Bills and Jets end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
448 shares @ 0.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 12, 2027$150.08
$150.08
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?$3.29Aug 9, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric J. Tatum win the 2026 Fulton Commission Chair election?$0.21Aug 9, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?$0.35Aug 9, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?$3.60Aug 9, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?$0.36Aug 9, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric J. Tatum win the 2026 Fulton Commission Chair election?$0.70Aug 9, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?$0.82Aug 9, 02:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Miami Marlins clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?$53.99Aug 9, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Miami Marlins clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?$54.30Aug 9, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Svitle by August 31?$8.94Aug 9, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLExtended FDV above $1B one day after launch?$0.95Aug 9, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.14Aug 9, 02:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?$36.38Aug 9, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 8 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?$5.56Aug 9, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?$28.67Aug 9, 02:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?$9.33Aug 9, 02:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?$9.33Aug 9, 02:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?$9.33Aug 9, 02:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?$9.33Aug 9, 02:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?$9.33Aug 9, 02:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
10% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $37.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 9, 01:28 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 9, 03:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.