Bustling-Spotlight
0x3236dab3255ef1b01251f99b6a47ebd97ce2b02c
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$7.97
Total PnL
$-1.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- CALVERT
CA-41 election: Rollins (D) vs. Calvert (R)
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$1.67
$0.67
- LAWLER
NY-17 election: Jones (D) vs. Lawler (R)
1 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$1.39
$0.64
- NO
Derivatives_Ape/Prometheus arrested this year?
1 shares @ 72.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$1.38
$0.38
- NO
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2024$1.28
$0.28
- NO
X drops antitrust case in 2024?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$1.23
$0.23
- YES
Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- DEMOCRATIC
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Bitcoin up on Nov 6?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Trump flips Kamala on 538 before election?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin up on Nov 6? $1.00Oct 25, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military response against Iran by Friday?$1.00Oct 16, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala flips a 2020 Trump state?$0.50Oct 16, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYHarris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?$1.00Oct 16, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump flips Kamala on 538 before election?$1.00Oct 16, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYX drops antitrust case in 2024?$1.00Oct 16, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Diddy charges before November?$0.30Oct 16, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYDerivatives_Ape/Prometheus arrested this year?$1.00Oct 16, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win Florida by 8+ points?$0.60Oct 16, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump launch a coin before the election?$1.00Oct 16, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYYankees vs. Guardians Series Winner$0.50Oct 16, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYNY-17 election: Jones (D) vs. Lawler (R)$0.75Oct 16, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova's EU membership referendum pass?$0.30Oct 16, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouse control after 2024 election?$0.40Oct 16, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWho will lead on Silver Bulletin on Friday?$0.50Oct 16, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWhich party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.00Oct 16, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYCA-41 election: Rollins (D) vs. Calvert (R)$1.00Oct 16, 13:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $0.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 16, 13:10 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 25, 16:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".