Raw-Fraction
0x3243365bd75aa80f36ba3c12b24287779336b648
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-26.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Lesotho win on 2025-10-10?
42 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Eswatini win on 2025-10-12?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?
18 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?
16 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 23-26?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
11 shares @ 36.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
9 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Osasuna win on 2025-10-18?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$7.50Jan 4, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.02Dec 17, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?$1.00Dec 3, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.00Dec 3, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 3, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win?$1.00Dec 3, 21:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?$5.32Dec 1, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$2.00Nov 6, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.12Nov 6, 09:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?$31.70Nov 4, 16:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? $0.00Nov 1, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? $2.47Nov 1, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMMagic vs. 76ers$3.03Oct 29, 14:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-27?$7.14Oct 29, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. 76ers$1.00Oct 27, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-27?$5.00Oct 27, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$3.00Oct 25, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLGrokipedia released by October 31?$3.00Oct 22, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Levante UD win on 2025-10-19?$0.00Oct 22, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrokipedia released by October 31?$1.00Oct 19, 07:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $3.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 10, 16:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 4, 09:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".