0x324a0cfe413fabba9bd00af3061c561108ac5c0e
0x324a0cfe413fabba9bd00af3061c561108ac5c0e
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-107.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- VALIMONT
FL-1 special election: Valimont (D) vs. Patronis (R)
335 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.68
- CHARRIERE
Nathaniel Wood vs. Morgan Charriere
125 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2025$0.00
$-67.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 55-56°F on March 25?
65 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2025$0.00
$-38.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFL-1 special election: Valimont (D) vs. Patronis (R)$1.68Apr 1, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in NYC be between 55-56°F on March 25?$38.35Mar 25, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Natural Gas" during today's event with the Governor of Louisiana?$10.00Mar 25, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on March 24?$5.00Mar 25, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Alto Knights' gross less than 3m on opening weekend?$5.00Mar 25, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Snow White' gross between 39-44m on opening weekend?$20.00Mar 25, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Natural Gas" during today's event with the Governor of Louisiana?$8.90Mar 24, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on March 23?$5.00Mar 24, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 24?$4.96Mar 24, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Alto Knights' gross less than 3m on opening weekend?$4.98Mar 24, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Snow White' gross between 39-44m on opening weekend?$19.78Mar 24, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on March 23?$5.00Mar 24, 03:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the Chinese GP?$25.00Mar 24, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on March 23?$3.15Mar 23, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on March 23?$4.50Mar 23, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the Chinese GP?$18.00Mar 22, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYNathaniel Wood vs. Morgan Charriere $67.50Mar 22, 09:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
10 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $17.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 09:27 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 17:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.