Outlying-Cost
0x324d42dc2a6ef542856ccfd1e4ce1b5166611c77
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-213.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill PDC win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?$213.90Aug 15, 11:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $2.0 in July?$213.90Aug 15, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $2.0 in July?$213.69Jul 31, 04:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump acquire Greenland before July?$213.69Jul 31, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before July?$213.05Jun 17, 02:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lee Jun-seok endorse Han Duck-soo?$213.05Jun 17, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jun-seok endorse Han Duck-soo?$212.41May 18, 11:13 UTC
- TRADESELLHan Duck-soo presidential unity ticket with PPP?$212.41May 11, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYHan Duck-soo presidential unity ticket with PPP?$213.27May 11, 03:16 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum all time high in April?$213.27May 11, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high in April?$212.42Apr 4, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31?$212.42Apr 4, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31?$211.36Mar 20, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$211.35Mar 20, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$0.00Mar 20, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$210.93Mar 12, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $5000 by February 28 2025?$210.93Mar 12, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5000 by February 28 2025?$210.72Feb 24, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Free List win the most seats in the next Liechtenstein parliamentary election?$210.72Feb 24, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Free List win the most seats in the next Liechtenstein parliamentary election?$210.30Feb 8, 02:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $109.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 04:16 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 11:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.