Partial-Scrim
0x325ad35e84f975922f524ed39af5e08fe1fbbf7c
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$36.19
Total PnL
$-50.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Trump tariffs on Canada in effect by May 1?
19 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2025$18.60
$10.60
- YES
Will Trump increase tariffs on China before May?
18 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$17.59
$7.39
- YES
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?
47 shares @ 63.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?
47 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
14 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.60
- YES
TikTok sale announced before April?
6 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $3000 by Friday?$0.00Feb 17, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill an EU nation recognize Syrian government by March 31?$0.00Feb 17, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $105,000 on February 7?$0.00Feb 17, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $3,400 on February 7?$0.00Feb 17, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 425-449 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?$0.00Feb 9, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok sale announced before April?$1.00Feb 4, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok sale announced before April?$1.00Feb 4, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?$6.60Feb 4, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump increase tariffs on China before May?$10.20Feb 4, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump tariffs on Canada in effect by May 1?$8.00Feb 4, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana hit $350 by February 28 2025?$26.94Feb 4, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an EU nation recognize Syrian government by March 31?$3.00Feb 4, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $3000 by Friday?$10.00Feb 4, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana hit $350 by February 28 2025?$27.00Feb 4, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $105,000 on February 7?$4.00Feb 4, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $3,400 on February 7?$3.30Feb 4, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 425-449 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?$2.00Feb 4, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$10.00Feb 4, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?$30.00Feb 4, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?$20.00Feb 4, 08:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
15 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $10.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 08:04 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 17, 08:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.