Prickly-Ore
0x325b894cd506056067a7b4744244eb1eed42f1ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
122
Open notional
$4.50
Total PnL
$-66.93
Realised
$13.03
Win rate
100%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 122- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 31?
60 shares @ 1.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.50
$0.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on July 31?
52 shares @ 1.0¢·now 2.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.04
$0.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 41°C on July 31?
60 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.90
$0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 28°C on July 31?
51 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.51
$0.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 31?
5 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.08
$0.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 29?
100 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.05
$-0.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on July 29?
100 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.05
$-0.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on July 29?
60 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.03
$-0.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on July 29?
60 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.03
$-0.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on July 29?
60 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.03
$-0.57
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on July 31?$0.28Jul 29, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 31?$0.05Jul 29, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 41°C on July 31?$0.00Jul 29, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 41°C on July 31?$0.01Jul 29, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 41°C on July 31?$0.01Jul 29, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on July 31?$0.05Jul 29, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 28°C on July 31?$0.46Jul 29, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 41°C on July 31?$0.20Jul 29, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 41°C on July 31?$0.12Jul 29, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 41°C on July 31?$0.13Jul 29, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 41°C on July 31?$0.13Jul 29, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on July 31?$0.19Jul 29, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 31?$0.50Jul 29, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 31?$0.10Jul 29, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on July 31?$2.86Jul 29, 08:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 35°C on July 29?$1.77Jul 29, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 29?$0.30Jul 29, 08:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 31?$3.80Jul 29, 08:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 31?$1.00Jul 29, 08:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 31?$1.00Jul 29, 08:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 22:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 19:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.