Handmade-Artificer
0x325e4729130b6f7de3f5af8890507b4e57bd0ce9
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$18.98
Total PnL
$1.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Julián Álvarez win the Silver Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20 shares @ 40.0¢·now 94.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.98
$10.98
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?
200 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on January 14?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Julián Álvarez win the Silver Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.00Jun 4, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?$3.08Jun 2, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?$0.67Jun 2, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?$0.65Jun 2, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 14?$11.81May 16, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 14?$10.00Apr 13, 14:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$80.00Apr 13, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$80.00Mar 22, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$16.34Mar 13, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$75.36Mar 13, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$29.96Mar 13, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$32.34Mar 13, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMNew 10% US blanket tariff goes into effect by February 28?$60.00Mar 12, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew 10% US blanket tariff goes into effect by February 28?$21.36Feb 24, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew 10% US blanket tariff goes into effect by February 28?$36.81Feb 24, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew 10% US blanket tariff goes into effect by February 28?$1.00Feb 24, 02:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?$120.00Feb 13, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?$116.28Feb 3, 05:02 UTC
- REDEEMSeeker FDV above $800M one day after launch?$149.89Jan 22, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeeker FDV above $800M one day after launch?$145.54Jan 20, 12:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $22.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 13:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 14:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.