Quintessential-Casualty
0x32603bff082925642beae82a960ce6202fff3869
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$2.86
Total PnL
$-10.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?
3 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.86
$0.86
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
24 shares @ 24.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
10 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?$2.56Oct 24, 04:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-5 be released by December 31?$4.35Oct 24, 04:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?$5.85Oct 24, 04:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $120K on July 21?$1.12Jul 22, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMSam Altman arrested before July?$2.01Jul 22, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $122,000 on July 21?$6.03Jul 22, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $120K on July 21?$1.00Jul 21, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $122,000 on July 21?$6.00Jul 21, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?$5.00Jun 7, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSam Altman arrested before July?$2.00Jun 7, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?$2.00Jun 7, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5 be released by December 31?$4.00Jun 7, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?$2.00Jun 7, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?$5.00Jun 7, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMMahmoud Khalil released from custody before May?$0.00May 12, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?$0.00May 12, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?$0.00May 12, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX Flight 7 launch before February 2025?$1.01May 12, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$1.02May 12, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMDeepSeek banned in US before April?$1.03May 12, 08:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $2.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 08:08 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 24, 04:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".