0x32640063f692f49b660b11c5f73e6ca0c6d2f0bd
0x32640063f692f49b660b11c5f73e6ca0c6d2f0bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
86
Open notional
$3.72
Total PnL
$-373.04
Realised
$-6.60
Win rate
25%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 86- YES
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
7 shares @ 67.1¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2027$3.72
$-1.28
- YES
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
833 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
385 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- GAMERLEGION
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A
320 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UNDER
FC Cincinnati vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- LAUTARO MIDON
Oeiras 4: Lautaro Midon vs Benjamin Hassan
286 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?
200 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
192 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Petrojet SC win on 2026-05-13?
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?$5.08Jul 13, 15:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. England: O/U 0.5$5.12Jul 6, 01:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$0.59Jul 5, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$0.13Jul 5, 16:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLArgentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$0.80Jul 3, 23:36 UTC
- TRADESELLArgentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$0.56Jul 3, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$5.08Jul 3, 22:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.45Jul 3, 09:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?$6.02Jul 2, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMGermany vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5$4.85Jul 2, 18:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $3.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 19:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 15:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.