Self-Assured-Descent
0x326da6b380c318fced32ab52ead82f4e7eadaa8b
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$2.12
Total PnL
$-1.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 2.9¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- YES
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.58
$-0.42
- YES
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
85 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.47
$-0.53
- YES
Will Trump say "Border" 10+ times during Bukele visit on April 14?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?$1.00Jul 9, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?$1.00Jul 9, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?$1.00Jul 9, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 7?$170.17Jul 7, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 7?$170.01Jul 7, 14:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?$1.09Jul 7, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?$1.15Jul 7, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMUS recession in 2025?$3.64Jul 7, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 31?$168.45Jul 7, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 31?$168.28Dec 31, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 22?$168.28Dec 31, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 22?$167.94Dec 22, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?$1.00Dec 16, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMUS 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?$2.53Dec 16, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Border" 10+ times during Bukele visit on April 14?$1.00Apr 13, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMCanadiens vs. Maple Leafs$0.00Apr 13, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?$1.00Apr 12, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?$2.00Apr 12, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession in 2025?$2.00Apr 12, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Maple Leafs$33.00Apr 12, 16:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
15 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $58.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 25, 14:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 07:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.