Queasy-Nurse
0x327188a2352ae23dc125e375f52559bf8e4dcd33
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
119
Open notional
$27.09
Total PnL
$-645.13
Realised
$103.06
Win rate
62%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 119- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
106 shares @ 25.1¢·now 25.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$27.09
$0.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on July 14?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 3?
981 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 15?
785 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.77
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 22?
576 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 3?
498 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.00
$-8.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 16?
484 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-72.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 31?
443 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 8?
345 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-54.78
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on July 11?
343 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-14.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 8?$0.02Aug 8, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 8?$1.11Aug 8, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 8?$1.05Aug 8, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 8?$0.20Aug 8, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 8?$0.85Aug 8, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 8?$1.05Aug 8, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 8?$1.05Aug 8, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 8?$0.60Aug 8, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 8?$0.11Aug 8, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 8?$1.33Aug 8, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 8?$0.26Aug 8, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 3?$3.86Aug 3, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 3?$0.24Aug 3, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 3?$1.14Aug 3, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 3?$0.95Aug 2, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 3?$0.18Aug 2, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 3?$0.40Aug 2, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 3?$0.54Aug 2, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 3?$4.18Aug 2, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 31?$13.35Jul 31, 17:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
44/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
62% win rate over 26 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
26 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 10:40 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 8, 17:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.