Aware-Illusion
0x3273d4ea48ff1252e3654ed00c40db5d1463178b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-107.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 9?
93 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.08
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 25?
76 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.51
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 8?
65 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.01
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 7?
61 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.39
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 9?
60 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.19
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $2.20 on January 7?
58 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.02
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on January 24?
58 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.46
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on January 11?
58 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-54.16
- YES
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 8 be less than 60?
50 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 28?
50 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 9?$3.29Jul 9, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 8?$3.21Jul 7, 22:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on July 1?$42.45Jul 1, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on July 1?$40.75Jul 1, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 31?$43.65Jun 1, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 31?$42.38May 30, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 25?$1.61May 25, 01:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 24?$48.53May 24, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 24?$46.59May 24, 01:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 17?$45.16May 17, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 17?$43.76May 17, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?$1.87May 13, 17:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?$41.67May 8, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?$40.17May 8, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitBoy convicted?$50.81Apr 30, 17:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $94,000 January 19-25?$0.00Apr 19, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $175-$180 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?$0.00Apr 12, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 26?$0.00Mar 31, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitBoy convicted?$21.76Mar 30, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitBoy convicted?$25.75Mar 30, 21:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $29.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 11:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 00:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.