Bouncy-Spleen
0x32765010d2c3837950a627a240eb463b8483dd01
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
84
Open notional
$12.20
Total PnL
$-939.21
Realised
$22.21
Win rate
75%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 84- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
100 shares @ 35.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.50
$-27.50
- YES
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.13
$1.01
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
20 shares @ 29.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.70
$-4.10
- YES
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.88
$-0.13
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
3000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-11.66
- YES
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?
2055 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-8.80
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.33
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
1398 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.87
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
8 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $3.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 01:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.