Naive-Permit
0x327b668f88299672c7d55f00fc4afd8719cbd93b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Indiana Governor Election?
145 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Nebraska Presidential Election?
138 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Kentucky Presidential Election?
135 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
135 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Montana US Senate Election?
108 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win California Presidential Election?
106 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Louisiana Presidential Election?
64 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win North Dakota Governor Election?
51 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Nebraska's 1st congressional district?
39 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
Recent activity
- REDEEMKings vs. Rangers$52.00Mar 18, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYKings vs. Rangers$27.04Mar 16, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Indiana Governor Election?$0.14Nov 7, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Kentucky Presidential Election?$0.14Nov 1, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Louisiana Presidential Election?$0.13Oct 30, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Nebraska Presidential Election?$0.14Oct 30, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win California Presidential Election?$0.11Oct 18, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win North Dakota Governor Election?$0.07Oct 8, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win North Dakota Governor Election?$0.04Oct 8, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Sep 28, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.05Sep 28, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.03Sep 28, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.04Sep 28, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.01Sep 28, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Montana US Senate Election?$0.11Sep 24, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Nebraska's 1st congressional district?$0.12Sep 4, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.07Sep 2, 13:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.07Sep 2, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a candidate from another party win North Carolina Presidential Election?$0.13Sep 2, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.13Aug 20, 20:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $20.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 8, 23:16 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 08:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.