Embarrassed-Dude
0x327fa4b3dc66470cccce0a67ec73b9d3303d1dd2
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-285.45
Realised
$3.12
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Will another Louvre heist robber be arrested by November 30?
4500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on November 7?
2700 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 52°F or higher on November 22?
1870 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-5.81
- YES
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?
1710 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-4.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 67°F or higher on November 6?
1135 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-2.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 50-51°F on November 22?
930 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-9.85
- AVATAR
Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?
830 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-72.28
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
786 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-50.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 52°F or higher on November 17?
750 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 55°F or higher on November 22?
530 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-4.63
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?$3.28Dec 19, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?$0.30Dec 19, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?$0.52Dec 19, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?$1.20Dec 19, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?$3.08Dec 19, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?$4.04Dec 19, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?$33.00Nov 30, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELL>3.1 million TSA travelers any day November 23-30?$24.86Nov 30, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELL>3.1 million TSA travelers any day November 23-30?$3.39Nov 30, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELL>3.1 million TSA travelers any day November 23-30?$1.08Nov 30, 13:01 UTC
- TRADESELL>3.1 million TSA travelers any day November 23-30?$3.67Nov 30, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 44-45°F on November 26?$1.56Nov 26, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 44-45°F on November 26?$1.20Nov 26, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 44-45°F on November 26?$2.80Nov 26, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?$36.00Nov 26, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$41.66Nov 26, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$2.05Nov 22, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUY>3.1 million TSA travelers any day November 23-30?$3.60Nov 22, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUY>3.1 million TSA travelers any day November 23-30?$10.80Nov 22, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$0.12Nov 22, 22:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 22, 09:48 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 19, 19:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.