Parched-Calendar
0x328b659d0bff879e11af710200eea188e53ba089
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$21.74
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$57.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$21.74
$16.74
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
1300 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-104.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
1200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
800 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
670 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-100.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
630 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-100.80
- YES
Will Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
541 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-27.05
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
500 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
380 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-102.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
316 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-09?$52.00Dec 9, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$100.50Dec 3, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$31.20Dec 3, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$28.60Dec 3, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$2.60Dec 3, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$60.00Nov 24, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$60.00Nov 24, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$104.00Nov 22, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$90.76Nov 22, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$10.53Nov 22, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$1.31Nov 22, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$69.70Nov 22, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$36.30Nov 22, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$100.80Nov 22, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$3.50Nov 21, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$1.00Nov 21, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$1.00Nov 21, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$75.00Nov 21, 19:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$20.00Nov 21, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$6.28Nov 21, 04:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $35.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 15, 04:32 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 9, 04:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.