Squiggly-Sunflower
0x329060fdc5b1ee7cc089caa8fe35023c662953cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-61.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- JAKUB MENSIK
Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Grigor Dimitrov
74689 shares @ 61.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-45.6K
- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?
8100 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.9K
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 21?
3946 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-517.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 26?
3791 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-398.83
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 26?
3704 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-131.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 43°C on June 24?
3310 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 21?
3025 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-213.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 28?
2326 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-412.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 22?
2310 shares @ 20.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-481.19
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 22?
2252 shares @ 40.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-904.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 21?$80.32Jul 21, 16:09 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$50.00Jul 9, 21:30 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$21.44Jul 9, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on July 5?$5.41Jul 5, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 5?$3.70Jul 5, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 5?$13.89Jul 5, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 6?$10.43Jul 5, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on July 6?$10.48Jul 5, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 6?$1.05Jul 5, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 5?$1.05Jul 4, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 5?$1.04Jul 4, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 5?$1.05Jul 4, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 5?$1.05Jul 4, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or below on July 5?$1.05Jul 4, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 5?$1.05Jul 4, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on July 5?$1.05Jul 4, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on July 5?$1.04Jul 4, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C or higher on July 5?$1.04Jul 4, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on July 5?$1.05Jul 4, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on July 5?$1.05Jul 4, 22:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 1 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Grigor Dimitrov
$10.0K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $5.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 08:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 16:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.