Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-261.88

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 13

YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?
8400 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025
$0.00
$-50.40
YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
600 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025
$0.00
$-48.55
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
423 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025
$0.00
$-31.61
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
360 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025
$0.00
$-10.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
134 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025
$0.00
$-5.40
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
133 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025
$0.00
$-2.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
115 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025
$0.00
$-3.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
110 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025
$0.00
$-2.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
106 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025
$0.00
$-2.08
YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?
100 shares @ 50.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024
$0.00
$-50.80

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$15.57Oct 29, 14:41 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$1.00Oct 29, 14:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$2.00Oct 29, 14:37 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$1.00Oct 29, 14:36 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$5.00Oct 29, 14:33 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$7.04Oct 29, 14:32 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$1.02Oct 29, 14:28 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$30.59Oct 29, 14:28 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$29.98Oct 27, 14:08 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$7.15Oct 22, 16:15 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$1.00Oct 22, 15:11 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$1.00Oct 22, 14:56 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$0.36Oct 22, 14:56 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$0.50Oct 22, 14:56 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$0.01Oct 22, 14:56 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$0.08Oct 22, 14:56 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$0.06Oct 22, 14:56 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$1.00Oct 22, 14:56 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$0.67Oct 22, 14:56 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$0.60Oct 22, 14:56 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry23 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk44 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 48
Avg trade size: $2.06
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Oct 22, 13:58 UTC
Last active: Oct 29, 14:41 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 22:33:19 UTC·src:Polymarket Data