Wild-Unemployment
0x329492fbca07095e001c55a0784284eb8b9f0937
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-15.1K
Realised
$-2.2K
Win rate
52%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 10PM ET
12503 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-783.34
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 9PM ET
5394 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-541.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
4000 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-544.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 9PM ET
3866 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-219.19
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 1PM ET
3586 shares @ 73.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.6K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
2457 shares @ 63.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
1825 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-216.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
1500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
1409 shares @ 49.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-700.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
1328 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-136.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$0.00Dec 14, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$594.88Dec 12, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$16.80Dec 12, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$42.00Dec 12, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$10.50Dec 12, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$4.20Dec 12, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$10.00Dec 12, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$4.20Dec 12, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$8.40Dec 12, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$840.00Dec 12, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$42.00Dec 12, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$808.15Dec 12, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$89.04Dec 12, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$35.28Dec 12, 03:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$103.92Dec 12, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$3.54Dec 12, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$16.80Dec 12, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$5.60Dec 12, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$5.63Dec 12, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$2.50Dec 12, 03:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
52% win rate over 21 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
21 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $148.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 12, 02:50 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 14, 04:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.