Mealy-Grouse
0x329d08f62a3699250bf353c95f51aaa3dc8e0ec7
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
61
Open notional
$44.21
Total PnL
$-291.56
Realised
$-29.91
Win rate
38%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- YES
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?
38 shares @ 10.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$6.58
$2.82
- YES
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?
15 shares @ 32.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$5.22
$0.51
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
250 shares @ 5.8¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.75
$-9.85
- YES
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 28.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.25
$-9.75
- YES
Will UNI reach $15.50 by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 15.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.75
$-3.75
- YES
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?
13 shares @ 15.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$3.66
$1.66
- YES
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?
12 shares @ 12.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$3.50
$2.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?
150 shares @ 8.3¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.15
$-9.35
- NO
Exact Score: Morocco 2 - 2 Haiti?
3 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$3.05
$0.05
- YES
Will BNB reach $1600 by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 14.0¢·now 4.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.40
$-4.60
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Morocco 2 - 2 Haiti?$3.03Jun 24, 23:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
38% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $0.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 00:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 00:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.