Relieved-Maestro
0x329da08a8e3d157393cf1c423716fa413e075a92
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$4.7K
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$51.65
Win rate
66%
38 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Ghana finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
156 shares @ 63.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$153.48
$55.22
- NO
Will Any Team Participate in 3+ Penalty Shootouts in the Knockout Phase?
182 shares @ 83.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$151.72
$0.91
- NO
Will Senegal be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
210 shares @ 69.7¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$143.85
$-2.45
- NO
Will Iran be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
200 shares @ 88.9¢·now 61.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$122.00
$-55.77
- NO
Johan Manzambi: 3+ shots
140 shares @ 63.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$111.30
$23.10
- NO
Will Brazil finish second in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
150 shares @ 68.7¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$108.75
$5.75
- NO
Will Igor Thiago score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
185 shares @ 35.8¢·now 54.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$100.14
$33.74
- YES
Will Mexico be the highest-scoring team in Group A during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
138 shares @ 37.4¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$90.61
$38.87
- NO
Petar Musa: 1+ goals
114 shares @ 60.8¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$89.78
$20.20
- NO
Ante Budimir: 1+ goals
97 shares @ 81.3¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$88.93
$10.37
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$18.60Jun 23, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYPanama to score first vs. Croatia?$0.86Jun 23, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYColombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia O/U 6.5 Corners$26.40Jun 23, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYPanama to score first vs. Croatia?$7.00Jun 23, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYPanama vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 0.5$0.10Jun 23, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYPanama vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 0.5$6.46Jun 23, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYPanama to score first vs. Croatia?$5.78Jun 23, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYPanama to score first vs. Croatia?$24.48Jun 23, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYPanama to score first vs. Croatia?$24.93Jun 23, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYPanama vs. Croatia: Panama 1st Half O/U 0.5$15.01Jun 23, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYLuka Modrić: 1+ goals$22.80Jun 23, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYPanama vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5 Total Corners$56.80Jun 23, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYTunisia vs. Netherlands: Tunisia O/U 2.5 Corners$40.00Jun 23, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndrej Kramarić: 1+ goals$35.45Jun 23, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndrej Kramarić: 1+ goals$17.73Jun 23, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnte Budimir: 1+ goals$56.67Jun 23, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLPanama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 4.5 Corners$57.59Jun 23, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYLuka Modrić: 2+ shots$2.12Jun 23, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYPetar Musa: 4+ shots$13.26Jun 23, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYLuka Modrić: 2+ shots$10.78Jun 23, 22:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
77/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
66% win rate over 38 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
38 closed markets, 66% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $17.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 22:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 23:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 38 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.