Next-Sleuth
0x32a3dfb520d3d511459cadc1c5228bbb5e6f8c08
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$14.93
Total PnL
$-19.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?
15 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$14.93
$4.93
- YES
Will 100-150k federal employees accept the buyout?
448 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Germany win Eurovision 2025?
87 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March?
80 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files?
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March?$2.00Mar 21, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLGreens win over 15% of vote in German election? $0.37Mar 6, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLFDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $0.05Mar 6, 21:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kanye launch a coin in February?$37.50Mar 6, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files?$5.00Feb 28, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye launch a coin in February?$1.00Feb 28, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYFDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $10.00Feb 23, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYGreens win over 15% of vote in German election? $15.00Feb 23, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYFDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $10.00Feb 23, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win Eurovision 2025?$2.00Feb 23, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?$10.00Feb 23, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 100-150k federal employees accept the buyout?$15.00Feb 23, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye launch a coin in February?$15.00Feb 23, 10:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $7.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 10:01 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 09:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.