Definitive-Mesenchyme
0x32a479f12775049d6d2c2bafa9ed59a550853956
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$-742.86
Realised
$845.63
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?
750 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$750.01
$67.84
- NO
Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?
750 shares @ 90.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$750.00
$68.75
- NO
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
401 shares @ 55.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$400.70
$179.47
- YES
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?
1332 shares @ 51.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-686.81
- YES
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?
1063 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 7, 2025$0.00
$-595.36
- YES
Zelensky in Alaska by Sunday?
813 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-29.02
- NO
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during July Press Conference?
736 shares @ 59.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-439.75
- YES
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
141 shares @ 44.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-62.77
- YES
Will Liverpool vs. Arsenal end in a draw?
128 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-35.84
- YES
Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30?
125 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 30, 2025$0.00
$-55.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?$11.70Sep 13, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?$14.82Sep 12, 23:34 UTC
- TRADESELLLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?$30.42Sep 12, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?$24.96Sep 12, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?$27.30Sep 12, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?$7.80Sep 12, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?$156.00Sep 12, 23:28 UTC
- TRADESELLLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?$156.00Sep 12, 23:28 UTC
- TRADESELLLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?$156.00Sep 12, 23:28 UTC
- REWARD$38.56Sep 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Native Markets win the USDH ticker?$288.92Sep 11, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Native Markets win the USDH ticker?$690.75Sep 11, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?$111.36Sep 11, 11:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?$1.00Sep 11, 11:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?$13.94Sep 11, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?$20.00Sep 11, 09:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Native Markets win the USDH ticker?$142.16Sep 11, 09:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Native Markets win the USDH ticker?$28.83Sep 11, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Native Markets win the USDH ticker?$266.43Sep 11, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Native Markets win the USDH ticker?$400.56Sep 11, 08:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $297.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 10, 04:19 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 13, 14:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".