Daring-Folklore
0x32a92e0200c47c173bf06f87877170f75719fc3f
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
100
Open notional
$37.23
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 100- ZERO TENACITY
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Level UP (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B
73 shares @ 50.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$37.23
$0.73
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
29500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-57.94
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 26?
15910 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-36.00
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
15000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 25?
12709 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-35.99
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
9074 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-44.34
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 26?
8979 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-14.99
- HEROIC
Dota 2: Heroic vs South America Rejects - Game 4 Winner
8751 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-8.75
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 7?
7500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-9.98
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 27?
7000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Level UP (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B$36.50Jul 22, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Team AION - Game 2 Winner$1.00Jul 21, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 17?$19.80Jul 16, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 15?$8.38Jul 15, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 15?$20.27Jul 15, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 15?$1.55Jul 15, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 15?$1.98Jul 15, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 15?$2.48Jul 15, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 15?$3.10Jul 15, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 15?$0.01Jul 15, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 15?$1.71Jul 15, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 15?$10.70Jul 14, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$49.68Jul 14, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$2.11Jul 14, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 14?$9.30Jul 14, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 14?$17.76Jul 14, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner$5.00Jul 14, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner$4.92Jul 14, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 13?$8.52Jul 12, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 13?$10.70Jul 12, 21:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $6.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 13:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 19:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.