Sardonic-Pony
0x32aa65e7c02d2f5386d041cbf48fcdc8ef3a0c01
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$8.46
Win rate
13%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?
2014 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.73
- YES
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?
2000 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
767 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
507 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.70
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
461 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-7.90
- YES
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
457 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.20
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
333 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
318 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
312 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-8.10
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 27, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.51Jun 26, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?$4.31Jun 26, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-26?$4.21Jun 26, 17:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 26, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
13% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $4.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 16:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.