Woeful-Traffic
0x32b20c885b3ed17724a725b213f5db333d06841c
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.7K
Realised
$-1.9K
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
21250 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-524.82
- NO
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
20000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-179.86
- NO
Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?
15319 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-439.51
- NO
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
14500 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-324.92
- NO
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?
11847 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-284.33
- NO
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?
8459 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-84.59
- NO
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?
7000 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-490.00
- NO
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?
6532 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-137.57
- NO
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-11-25?
5871 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-343.19
- NO
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?
4500 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-179.99
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$4.77Jul 19, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. England: O/U 2.5$16.1KJul 18, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. England: O/U 1.5$1.00Jul 18, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: O/U 2.5$1.0KJul 18, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: O/U 2.5$1.1KJul 18, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: O/U 2.5$3.3KJul 18, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: O/U 2.5$3.3KJul 18, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: O/U 2.5$32.92Jul 18, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: O/U 2.5$3.0KJul 18, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: O/U 2.5$1.2KJul 18, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: O/U 2.5$256.41Jul 18, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: O/U 2.5$4.22Jul 18, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: O/U 2.5$2.7KJul 18, 21:36 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance vs. England: O/U 1.5$13.3KJul 18, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance vs. England: O/U 1.5$2.5KJul 18, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: O/U 1.5$15.9KJul 18, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5$16.3KJul 15, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5$7.2KJul 15, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5$2.15Jul 15, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5$887.45Jul 15, 20:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.6K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 19:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.